The share of matured forecasts whose realized close landed inside the band. A 25–75 percentile band targets ~50% by construction — much higher usually means the band is too wide to be useful.
How to read it
~50% in-band is CORRECT for a 25–75 band. Watch direction hit-rate and band width together on the admin scoreboard.
Related terms
See the forecast panel (Overview)All terms
Definitions describe how Easy Sahm computes and reads each figure. Analysis, not financial advice.